Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
FCL
4%
12%
85%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SER
4 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SIO
3 - 2
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LAC
1 - 7
LUG
4%
12%
84%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | +1 |