Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
4 - 2
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCV
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |