Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
SIO
0 - 2
FCL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 2
SER
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 3
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |