Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
GCZ
0 - 1
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 1
SIO
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
FCL
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 3
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
MFF
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
DYN
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |