Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
DYN
1 - 1
FCL
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCV
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SIO
1 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 3
INT
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |