Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 1
SIO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GCZ
4 - 3
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SIO
0 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
BAS
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |