Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 1
OSI
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
2 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
STR
4 - 4
FCL
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 0
SCA
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
ACM
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
LOC
0 - 4
LUG
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ACS
1 - 8
LUG
2%
6%
92%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | +1 |