Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
THU
5 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |