Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAU
2 - 3
FCL
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
FCK
1 - 1
FCL
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 3
STG
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SIO
5 - 1
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |