Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis

Luzern FC Lugano
80 ELO 73
7.7% Tilt 21.6%
279º General ELO ranking 309º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
57%
Luzern
22%
Draw
21%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Luzern
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-4%
-12%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Luzern
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2016
FCL
Luzern
2 - 2
Young Boys
YOB
38%
25%
37%
79 83 4 0
30 Oct. 2016
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 3
Luzern
FCL
29%
25%
45%
78 71 7 +1
27 Oct. 2016
FCK
FC Koniz
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
9%
15%
76%
78 55 23 0
23 Oct. 2016
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
58%
23%
20%
78 71 7 0
15 Oct. 2016
BAS
Basel
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
60%
21%
19%
78 84 6 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2016
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 3
St. Gallen
STG
50%
24%
26%
74 71 3 0
29 Oct. 2016
SIO
Sion
5 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
61%
22%
17%
74 81 7 0
26 Oct. 2016
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
31%
24%
46%
74 68 6 0
22 Oct. 2016
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
22%
23%
55%
74 84 10 0
16 Oct. 2016
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
33%
25%
42%
74 81 7 0