Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
26%
24%
51%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NEX
2 - 4
FCL
23%
22%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCL
3 - 3
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
FCL
5 - 1
KAI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 3
LUG
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |