Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 2
ZUR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 1
WOH
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
STG
3 - 3
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 5
FCV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |