Luzern vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
6º
6º
38
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 5 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
YOB
4 - 2
FCL
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
LAU
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
YVE
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
GCZ
3 - 2
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
GCZ
60%
22%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
LUG
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
YVE
3 - 2
GCZ
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 0
GCZ
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |