Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
0 - 9
FCL
5%
11%
84%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 7
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |