Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 3
GCZ
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 4
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |