Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 1
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
STG
3 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
NEX
29%
27%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SIO
4 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 5
YOB
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |