Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 0
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 3
FCL
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |