Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
STG
4 - 2
FCL
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
BAD
0 - 2
FCL
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCL
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 0
SIO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 3
SER
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |