Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCL
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
FCZ
0 - 2
FCL
13%
18%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 3
SER
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BAD
2 - 0
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 0
DEL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |