Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 1
GCZ
16%
21%
62%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
LUG
5 - 0
FCL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
FCL
3 - 0
ZUR
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SER
3 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
26%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |