Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 4
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
FCL
2 - 0
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
FCL
4 - 4
KFF
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
KFF
2 - 2
FCL
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
STG
3 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
SER
2 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FCA
3 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |