Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
81%
13%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |