Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FCL
3 - 2
GCZ
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
SER
3 - 5
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
FCL
2 - 0
NEX
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
SIO
2 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |