Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
FCL
2 - 3
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
LAU
2 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCL
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
FCL
0 - 3
GCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 2
SIO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 1
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ZUR
3 - 2
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |