Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
SER
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
FCL
0 - 0
STG
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 2
NEX
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
FCL
0 - 1
SEG
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LAN
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |