Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCL
1 - 2
GCZ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FCL
5 - 0
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 0
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |