Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
FCL
2 - 1
KRI
71%
21%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCL
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
FCL
0 - 0
YOB
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
LAU
2 - 0
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
FCA
0 - 1
ACM
17%
26%
58%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
FCA
2 - 0
OMO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |