Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 3
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
FCL
2 - 4
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
SER
3 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCL
40%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 1
SIO
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
49%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 2
YOB
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |