Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
FCL
2 - 1
VEV
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
FCW
0 - 1
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
FCL
3 - 2
NEX
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
ZUR
5 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
YOB
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
ZUG
0 - 3
FCA
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIN
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |