Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
FCL
0 - 3
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CHI
0 - 2
FCL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
YOB
0 - 1
FCA
63%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
FCA
0 - 0
NEX
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FCA
8 - 1
BEL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
FCA
0 - 0
YOB
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |