Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
FCL
2 - 3
GCZ
30%
23%
46%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1982 |
YOB
3 - 3
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
FCL
1 - 3
LAU
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1982 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1982 |
FCA
3 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
32%
22%
46%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |