Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCL
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
FCL
2 - 4
SER
25%
22%
54%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
NOB
0 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
FCL
1 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
VEV
3 - 0
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
4 - 1
BUL
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
FCA
0 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
SER
2 - 0
FCA
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
CHI
2 - 1
FCA
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |