Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
11º
4º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCL
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 2
WIN
54%
23%
22%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCL
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 3
BAS
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
LAU
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
38%
25%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |