Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
47
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 3
FCL
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 1
LUG
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 3
STG
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 2
BAS
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZAL
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIN
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |