Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 1
SIO
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
KAI
2 - 3
BAS
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
STG
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
OMO
1 - 1
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAS
10%
17%
74%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |