Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 4
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 2
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRA
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
SIO
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
KRA
1 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SER
2 - 0
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |