Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
4 - 0
YOB
18%
22%
59%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 3
FCL
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
YOB
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 4
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |