Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCL
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 3
CHI
75%
16%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCL
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ECH
2 - 3
FCL
6%
11%
83%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
MUD
33%
25%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 1
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
CSK
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |