Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
GCZ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 0
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |