Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 11
FCL
4%
10%
87%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MTA
3 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |