Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
STG
4 - 0
FCL
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
THU
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZEN
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |