Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCL
29%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 5
LAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 3
SIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
44%
23%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |