Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCL
5 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
YOB
3 - 2
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCL
5 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
SCP
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |