Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCL
76%
15%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
6 - 2
RAB
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 1
BAS
13%
18%
69%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SIO
4 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |