Luzern II vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCG
2 - 0
LUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 1
EMM
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
LUZ
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUZ
5 - 1
ZUG
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
KRI
1 - 0
LUZ
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
OLD
5 - 1
OLT
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
OLD
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 1
ZOF
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 1
FCG
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
EMM
2 - 2
OLD
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |