Luzern II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCG
4 - 2
LUZ
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
YFJ
3 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 2
ESC
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MEN
3 - 4
LUZ
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
MEN
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 3
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUG
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
STG
18%
21%
62%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |