Luzern II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
2 - 2
LUZ
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
SCB
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 0
BUO
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
SCB
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCG
2 - 1
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 2
BUO
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
ZUG
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |