Luzern II vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GCB
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
LUZ
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 4
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUZ
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 3
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
5 - 2
ZOF
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 3
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
LUG
65%
19%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |