Luzern II vs Biaschesi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 2
CHA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MEN
3 - 0
LUZ
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 0
STG
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUZ
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 3
BAD
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Biaschesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 0
GCB
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GCB
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
TUG
1 - 1
GCB
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUZ
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SCB
4 - 1
GCB
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |