Luzern II vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
LUZ
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 3
BAV
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUL
4 - 4
LUZ
22%
22%
57%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
FCP
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STG
0 - 1
LUZ
22%
21%
57%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
BIE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
ETO
16%
22%
61%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 1
SCB
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
ETO
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |