Luzern II vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 4
LUZ
21%
21%
57%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 2
DEL
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
LUZ
30%
22%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 1
MUN
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 1
LUZ
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BUO
5 - 3
ZUG
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUO
1 - 2
SOL
40%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
THU
4 - 1
BUO
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BUO
2 - 1
THU
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |